Surveys give us stronger pictures of the proposed trend. It may not be 100% reliable because there are various factors that we need to consider:
1) Availability of information to make an accurate decision
2) People’s preferences change most of the times
3) A person’s background and general knowledge
4) Bogus survey execution.
But given time and experience, Surveys give us a certain area of foresight. If results are taken collectively it prepares and explains the given trend or subject.
Take for example the Presidential Elections that we all like to get through peacefully. Almost everyone’s anticipating it as we've been hearing goodwill advertisements left and right. At this point, we already have our own preferences (vague as it seems) and we still have yet to hear from other aspiring candidates. It’s hard at this point because we still don’t know who are officially running with whom, yet the signs are everywhere. It’s nice to be prepared of the inevitable. Surveys help prepare the public to weigh out their votes at the same time how surveys also help the would-be candidates to view their present standing, whether it’s profitable for them to run at all.
Here are the results of the situational surveys printed in Manila times:
“IF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS WILL BE HELD TODAY, IT WILL BE A TIGHT RACE AMONG:” (in order)
Vice President Noli De Castro
Senator Manuel Villar Jr.
Senator Loren Legarda and
Senator Chiz Escudero.
“WHO DO YOU THINK ARE GOOD LEADERS AND SHOULD SUCCEED PGMA AS PRESIDENT.”
Vice President De Castro
Senator Manuel Villar
Senator Loren Legarda
Senator Chiz Escudero
Results were based on the February 2009 surveys, the most recent.
According to the results, some candidates lost points while other gained. Trailing behind the magic 4 are Senator Manuel Roxas, Senator Ping Lacson and former President Joseph Estrada.
Would-Be candidates may lie heavily on this survey, while the public may be prepared to cast their choices on the strong selected few. Until the official lists of candidates come out, I believe we are seeing a trend here.
SWS conducted a face to face interview during February 20-23 of 1,200 adults divided in random samples of 300 each in metro Manila, the balance of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao. This is not commissioned by anyone, just a direct “public service” for the undecided few.